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WWE NXT No Mercy 2023 will take place at Mechanics Bank Arena in Bakersfield, California on September 30, 2023. Follow along here for spoilers and information on the event's card, lineup of matches and news regarding the pay-per-view.

The following are my predictions for the 2023 WWE NXT No Mercy 2023 PPV. Check back for NXT No Mercy 2023 results and review coverage here when the time comes.

WWE NXT No Mercy 2023 Spoilers and Predictions

NXT Championship Match: Carmelo Hayes (c) vs. Ilja Dragunov

I fully expect Hayes to retain his title unless there are plans to bring him up to the main roster while keeping Dragunov in NXT for an extended period, and if the way they go about doing this is some purposeful or inadvertent interference from Trick Williams to create even more tension and spark a feud between Trick and Melo. But in my mind, it just isn't time for Hayes to move up to the main roster and with Bron Breakker treading water, there isn't room for Hayes to do the same, lingering in NXT without the championship. I'd rather Hayes retain and lose it to someone else once he's in a position to go to Raw or SmackDown. While that does mean Dragunov continues to be lost in the shuffle, I'd rather him go for the Heritage Cup or the North American Championship than for Melo to lose his title just to keep Dragunov doing something.

PREDICTION: Carmelo Hayes retains.

NXT Women's Championship Extreme Rules Match: Becky Lynch (c) vs. Tiffany Stratton

I was originally expecting a Triple Threat that also included Kiana James. Going with this is honestly more interesting to me. I'm a big fan of them adding a stipulation instead of just going with a straight-up normal match. Both outcomes had the same conclusion, though, in that I don't think there's much room for Becky to drop the title this fast. WWE gave her the belt to try to bring more eyes to NXT and bump up the ratings. To do that for just 2 weeks, basically, seems odd.

PREDICTION: Becky Lynch retains.

NXT North American Championship Match: Dominik Mysterio (c) vs. Trick Williams — special guest referee Dragon Lee

I'm curious how this would have played out if it were Mustafa Ali in this match, as they seemed to go out of their way to NOT do the matches with him that they wanted to, only to have this set up and for him to leave WWE. Crazy. It's like it was never allowed to be.

I'm also curious why they didn't just go with Dragon Lee here. Are they just killing time? For what? Do they want Dom to still be champion heading into a WarGames match at Survivor Series, and they still want to stretch out Dragon Lee winning it for a full two more months? If so, it's weird to have had the matches already. But he's still involved as the special guest referee, so...what gives?

This whole tension between Trick and Melo has to come to a head at some point. Whether that means Trick wins the North American title because Dragon Lee screwed over Dom, and then, Trick has a title and so does Melo, or that Melo drops the belt and Trick has a title and that leads to some problems, or Trick fails to win this belt and starts eying up Melo's...I don't know. I don't think WWE had any of this planned and they're scrambling.

Normally, I would say "when in doubt, go with the champion retaining." This time, I'm truly split.

At the risk of putting the titles on too many main roster talents, I do think Butch is the better call here. What's Noam Dar going to do with this title that we haven't already seen? At least Butch can bring it to SmackDown and put some spotlight on it that way.

I don't think that's anything of a guarantee by any means, though. Frankly, I'm only about 60% leaning in that direction.

Baron Corbin vs. Bron Breakker

Works for me. I kind of feel like it should be a Triple Threat with Von Wagner involved as well, but they wrote him off with that steel steps head injury angle. My guess is they want it to just be a bigger focal point on Breakker, even though Wagner is technically the other free agent on the roster like Corbin, rather than Bron. But we all know Bron's the bigger fish in the overall grand scheme, so it's not like that's a shocker. In any fashion, I assume Breakker is winning this, as there's more for him to gain than for Corbin to come out on top.

NXT Tag Team Championship Fatal 4-Way Match: Tony D'Angelo and Channing "Stacks" Lorenzo (c) vs. The Creed Brothers vs. Los Lotharios vs. OTM

When you don't know what to do, lump a bunch of people together and call it a day. It works. While OTM isn't anywhere near as established enough to justify a title shot, in my mind, it'll be interesting to see them involved in this. Obviously, more matches have more going for them, but I'm fine with this just being a simple enough thing to eat up some time.

This page will be altered on a regular basis to reflect changes to the show including any new matches added to the lineup, adjustments to the card, revised predictions and any other information about this event. Stay tuned for the latest updates!

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